Week 8 NFL Picks

October 24, 2008

The Chicago Bears are on a bye this week, which means it’s now safe for me to exhale, dim the lights, pour a tumbler of bourbon, put my Jill Scott CD on repeat, and crank out another dose of smooth, smooth picks. Aww-yeah… I can just feel the tension oozing down my spine… recession, stock-market plummet-be-damned!

I’m ready baby. I’m ready to pick against the spread like I’ve never picked before, so spread ‘em.

As always, the home teams are in CAPS.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 over DALLAS COWBOYS
The Bucs are rolling with a still pissed-off Jeff Garcia at QB. Last week the Cowboys had their heads handed to them by the lowly Rams. All the attention is on Tony Romo’s broken pinky, but it’s not like Romo can play defense for the Cowboys. I feel the most sorry for Jessica Simpson, who will not only be unfairly blamed for the Dallas downfall, but will also be without the services of Romo’s “business” hand for a few more weeks.

Washington Redskins -7.5 over DETROIT LIONS
I almost talked myself into taking the Lions and the points. Yes I really am that stupid.

Buffalo Bills -1.5 over MIAMI DOLPHINS
The Baltimore Ravens provided the blueprint for shutting down the Dolphin’s “wildcat” formation last week. I’d wager my imaginary fortune that the Bills front-seven was paying close attention.

St. Louis Rams +7.5 over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
St. Louis is 2-0 since replacing their head coach with their defensive coordinator, including a convincing old-fashioned ass-whipping of the Cowboys. It’s too early to call this move a success, but I’ll still take the St. Louis fixer-upper over the Pats game-managing QB and Ol’ Yella defense.
(article continues here)


Resolve: The Measure of a Fan

October 24, 2008

The Chicago Bears outlast the Minnesota Vikings, 48-41
(Written last Monday)

I found myself in familiar territory this Sunday while observing the Chicago Bears try to hold onto a late fourth quarter lead over the Minnesota Vikings in a shootout. Well the high-scoring shootout part was unfamiliar, but there we were, sweating-out a game with a combined 89 points scored. I never thought I’d see the day when a Bear team scores 48 points and I’m still left biting my nails, concerned about another pending defensive meltdown reaching its gut-wrenching conclusion.

As Minnesota drove to the score that would place them within a touchdown of tying the Bears, I looked at my wife and said, “I don’t know if I can do this anymore.” Of course, that was just an empty, rhetorical sentiment, as I would continue to torment myself (I was raised as a Roman Catholic. Though I’m now agnostic, I’ve become accustomed to some form of self-loathing and suffering in my life.)

What I “couldn’t do anymore” was to follow this “new” style of Bear football. I’m more accustomed to the Bears blowing games because their mediocre offense failed to score enough points, not because their exhausted, injury-prone, depleted and overmatched defense failed to stop opponents in the clutch.

While the former way of losing left me depressed for a few hours, this newer method of blowing victories in the waning minutes of the fourth quarter had me absolutely demoralized for days on-end. It’s like being forced to watch an endless loop of the tragic rape/sodomy/murder segments from the film Boys Don’t Cry. I’m not suggesting there’s a right way to lose, but this year’s losses are the kind where a die-hard Bear fan could shower for five hours straight without feeling clean.

When the Bears responded by going three-and-out on offense, punting the ball back to the Vikes for a potential game-tying drive, my wife replied, “Well, I’m not doing this anymore. I’ll be in the kitchen. And please don’t tear-up my sh#t this time when they lose… again!”

Fortunately for the sad tattered remnants of my sanity –as well as my wife’s sh#t– the Bears defense held with a game-clenching interception by injured rookie cornerback Zackary Bowman, who replaced one of our two injured starting cornerbacks (Both of our starting corners Nathan Vasher and Charles Tillman sat-out with injuries, along with safety Danieal Manning. I wasn’t kidding about our defense being depleted. This is the first time I’ve ever looked forward to a bye-week for my team, if only to mend the battered players and stave-off my pending coronary from watching them struggle to compete.)

A respectful nod to Vikings running back, Adrian Peterson for once again turning into John Rambo and using only an AK and a machete to massacre the generic, expansionistic, suppressive, third-world, pacific-rim, undisciplined military that was the Bears defense. Every time he takes on the Bears defense, he looks as if he was born with balls and bad-manners. And yes, that’s a compliment.

Once again, I’m singling out Chicago’s Kyle “The Future” Orton for another valiant effort. I won’t go into detail about his gameplay this Sunday, but I will say this; his 18-yard touchdown strike to Greg Olsen was a laser-strike that was thrown against triple coverage. That’s right, triple coverage. That play was as jaw-dropping as The Bourne Ultimatum’s Jason Borne talking trash to pursuing CIA Deputy Director Noah Vosen from a cell-phone… while he was in Vosen’s office. That told me all I needed to know about Kyle Orton. Who cares if he’s scruffy and funny-looking? Hell, I’m about to start rockin the neck beard look myself!

The goat award goes to Matt Forte. Granted, you were going against the run-stuffing Vikings defense, but even against the Atlanta Falcons the previous Sunday, I noticed a great deal of dancing from you. Dude, I don’t know what’s going on with you but you began this season as a beast. You were a true warrior. Why have you begun to dance in the backfield instead of making one cut and hitting the front line with conviction like you did in the beginning? Dude, this ain’t Soul Train! The staticians don’t count the yards you make while grapevining side-to-side or doing that jitterbug thing you with your feet right before the defense stops you for no gain.

I know you’re a good kid with tremendous potential, and no, I’m not picking on you just because my wife thinks you’re hot (though admittedly, that certainly hasn’t helped with my perception of your efforts). But please, pretty please; less dancing, more running!


Week 7 NFL Picks (Aided by the Presidential Candidates)

October 17, 2008

I still haven’t fully recovered from the collapse of the Chicago Bears against the Atlanta Falcons last week. I almost didn’t do my weekly picks. I mean, why should I? In addition to the Bears ripping my soul out, I experienced my worst week of NFL prognosticating ever. I swear, any worse for me and I might as well apply for a Seattle T.V. meteorologist position.

Fortunately, Senators Obama and McCain agreed to help me with my picks this week since Joe the Plumber went to bed at 10pm CST and they had still had time to kill before flying off to pander to so-called battleground states.

For the Senators’ picks, the favorite will be listed ahead of the underdog, along with the point spread. The Senator’s picks will come at the end of their rambling monologues. As always, the home team will be in CAPS.

BUFFALO BILLS -0.5 vs. San Diego Chargers

Senator Obama: My fellow Americans, we are living in some truly strange times. On one hand, the Bills are playing inspired football despite rumors of being outsourced to Toronto. But on the other hand, you have San Diego… a historically elite team that for whatever reason… is falling short. The question that must be asked is… which team has that “extra reserve” to prevail in this unique situation? No one knows for sure… in fact, even Vegas… a city littered with seedy adult escort cards – and by the way, I will clean that up for our children – but back to my point… even Vegas has no idea who will come out on top… which is why they only gave the Chargers a half-point. But understand this; I say that any team that doesn’t have to travel thousands of miles to play… they clearly have the advantage here. So the Bills clearly have an edge.

Senator McCain: My friends… Senator Obama simply doesn’t understand how odds-makers come to their decisions in Vegas. OF COURSE the Bills have an edge. Everyone knows that. But what Senator Obama won’t tell you is that he wants to hire adult escorts to deflower your five-year-old children. *smiles awkwardly*

Obama’s pick: Buffalo Bills
McCain’s pick: Buffalo Bills

(read more here)


Fortune’s Fools: The Chicago Bears lose to the Atlanta Falcons, 22-20

October 13, 2008

I think it is best that I begin the Chicago Bears’ inexplicable, improbable, and ironically foreshadowed defeat at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons in a pseudo “real-time” column. The only other alternative is to build a funeral pyre, and my landlord frowns upon open-pit fires.

After the Falcons drove the ball the length of the field to take a 3-0 lead, I texted my wife the following message about Atlanta’s rookie QB, Matt Ryan; “This kid is carving the Bears up. He is really good.” I wasn’t overly concerned because the Bears had eliminated big plays, forcing Atlanta to take the shorter stuff. Any second and the rookie would become impatient and make a few bad decisions, right? Right?

After the Falcons drove the ball the length of the field to increase their advantage to 6-0, I became concerned. Atlanta’s QB was not rattled and he was getting rid of the ball within three seconds, rendering the Bears pass-rush moot. I texted my wife again; “Clearly we need at least 28 points to stand a chance.”

When the Bears were forced to punt a second consecutive time, I texted my wife a third time; “We are prolly gonna lose this one.” That’s how quickly a team’s fortune can change. My Bears went from being the clear favorite to the Dillon Panthers after Jason Street’s spinal injury within 15-30 minutes.

The defining moment of the game came… (read more here)


Week 6 Matchup: Versus Atlanta Falcons

October 11, 2008

Keys to the Game

Make the game a mud-fight. There’s an old saying that goes, “Never get into a mud-fight with a pig. You both get dirty and the pig likes it.” It’s safe to say that the majority of the Bears’ games this year have been almost as pretty as a prized potbellied pig, and in keeping with that theme, the Bears will want to drag Atlanta into the mudhole with them. The Falcons will want to jump on the Bears early with several quick strikes. Chicago must slow the game down and grind the clock. Kick over the hornet’s nest and swarm to the ball, particularly when Michael Turner gets the rock. Take away the big-play threat and force quarterback Matt Ryan to check-down to his safety valves. Oh, and while he’s checking down, hit him in the mouth repeatedly. Take the high-powered, youthful enthusiasm of the rookie QB and transmutate it into impatience and frustration.

The name of our game is smashmouth. Now is the time to play it. Feed them a heavy dose of Matt Forte until they drop a safety into the box. Then go play-action, vertical-strike to our receivers. I should probably just make a template for this paragraph and keep posting it each week. NOTE: Atlanta’s run defense’s soft underbelly has been exploited before and is ripe for the taking again.

John Abraham scares me. Let’s plan on containing him. The Falcons defensive end leads the league in sacks. The Bears offensive line has pushed themselves away from the buffet table and playing inspired football. They will need to continue their efforts against and double-team Abraham at all times.

Week 6 NFL Picks (read more about my picks here)
Chicago Bears -2.5 over ATLANTA FALCONS
Carolina Panthers +2.5 over TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
WASHINGTON REDSKINS -13.5 over St. Louis Rams
Miami Dolphins +3.5 over HOUSTON TEXANS
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -4.5 over Baltimore Ravens
MINNESOTA VIKINGS -13.5 Detroit Lions
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -7.5 over Oakland Raiders
NEW YORK JETS -5.5 over Cincinnati Bengals
DENVER BRONCOS -3.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars
Dallas Cowboys -5.5 over ARIZONA CARDINALS
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS +5.5 over Philadelphia Eagles
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -2.5 over Green Bay Packers
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS -6.5 over New England Patriots
New York Giants -7.5 over CLEVELAND BROWNS

Last Week: 6-8
Overall: 43-31
(read more about my picks here)


Who Are These Guys?

October 9, 2008

Despite the Chicago Bears dominating the Detroit Lions, winning by the score of 34-7, I’m still left with mixed emotions. We are five games into the season and I still don’t know what to make of the Bears.

Against good teams that were hampered by key injuries and other personnel issues, the Bears broke even, winning twice and losing twice. What’s more damning is the fact that the Bears lead each game deep into the fourth quarter. They should probably be undefeated right now.

And after destroying the Lions today, the Bears are now undefeated against teams that are being coached and managed by Piggy from Lord of the Flies. But what does that tell me about the Bears, other than they can play the role of schoolyard bully when pummeling the kids who receive gold stars for not going number-two on themselves during recess?

The bad news is… (read more here)


Week 5 NFL Picks

October 4, 2008

I was absolutely destroyed last week. It was easily my worst week of picks ever. We’re surviving on Top-Ramen, and I’m sure that someday Wifey and I will once again be on speaking terms once we save enough money to move out of our car and back into an apartment.

OK, a moment of truth; we don’t live anywhere near Vegas and even if we did, I’m not irresponsible enough to throw wads of money away based solely on my gut instinct. But I’m a little concerned about my mental state now. After all, even in my own imagination I’m a sports gambling-addicted loser. You’d think that in my own mind I would aim a bit higher and strive to become a loan-shark or pimp, right?

Our reality is far less dramatic, but almost as amusing. It is my wife interrupting my “sacred” writing time by calling me from Starbucks to gloat about O.J. Simpson’s guilty verdict.

Slightly annoyed, I asked her, “And this couldn’t wait until you got home?”

“What are you doing that’s so important?”

“I’m writing.”

“Oh.” I could actually hear her eyes rolling through the phone.

(Speaking of which, I know that a decade ago my Afro-American brethren inexplicably celebrated O.J. getting away with murder (allegedly), but trust me on this one; we are so over him. Dude should have laid-low and not raised a ruckus, but did he? Oh no. Dude thought he was bulletproof. And now he’s paying the price. I doubt that you’ll find any Nubian social/political movements stirred-up in his honor. At best, most folks will just shrug and go on with their lives like I did.)

But enough about lies, lowered expectations, and ironic justice (or moronic justice, depending on your perspective). On to the picks.

Chicago Bears -3.5 over DETROIT LIONS
Atlanta Falcons +7.5 over GREEN BAY PACKERS
San Diego Chargers -6.5 over MIAMI DOLPHINS
NEW YORK GIANTS -7.5 over Seattle Seahawks
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -5.5 over Washington Redskins?!?
(Revised) Washington Redskins +5.5 over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
CAROLINA PANTHERS -9.5 over Kansas City Chiefs
Tennessee Titans -3.5 over BALTIMORE RAVENS
Indianapolis Colts -3.5 over HOUSTON TEXANS
DENVER BRONCOS -3.5 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills +0.5 over ARIZONA CARDINALS
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS +3.5 over New England Patriots
DALLAS COWBOYS -15.5 over Cincinnati Bengals
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS -4.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -3.5 over Minnesota Vikings

(Read more about the picks here.)

Last week: 6-7
Overall: 37-23